The longer monsoon season in Pakistan may continue until late September, extending beyond its usual mid-September end, according to weather experts. Meteorologists link this shift to climate change, which is increasingly disrupting seasonal weather patterns across the region.
So far, southern Pakistan, particularly Sindh, has seen below-average rainfall, with monsoon currents primarily affecting northern and upper regions, including Punjab and Khyber Pakhtunkhwa.
Experts Prediction for Longer Monsoon
Experts predict a potential shift in wind patterns around August 10, which could direct monsoon activity toward southern parts of the country by mid-August. Until then, the northern and central regions remain under greater risk.
PDMA Warning
In Punjab, the Provincial Disaster Management Authority (PDMA) has issued a warning for the sixth monsoon spell, forecasting heavy rainfall in most districts starting August 5. This includes a risk of medium to high-level flooding in the Chenab and Jhelum rivers.
Cities expected to receive rainfall include: Lahore, Faisalabad, Sialkot, Rawalpindi, Murree, Chakwal, Gujranwala, Attock, Jhelum, Mandi Bahauddin, Narowal, Sargodha, Bahawalpur, Vehari, Muzaffargarh, and others across central and southern Punjab.
The Relief Commissioner Punjab, Nabeel Javed, has directed commissioners and local administrations to stay alert and ensure readiness. The PDMA has instructed Rescue 1122, civil defence units, and emergency teams to stay on high alert. Control rooms across districts are now active around the clock.
According to officials, a low-level flood is already present at Khanki in the Chenab River, and similar conditions are being monitored in the Indus River at Kalabagh, Chashma, and Taunsa.
Current dam levels show Tarbela Dam at 89% capacity and Mangla Dam at 61%, with normal flows in the Ravi, Jhelum, and Sutlej rivers and hill torrents.
The PDMA has warned of landslides in Murree and Galliyat, as well as damage to mud houses and older buildings. Residents and travelers are urged to avoid unnecessary movement and take extra precautions during the rain spells.
People are advised to stay indoors during urban or flash flooding, avoid crossing flowing water, and call the PDMA helpline 1129 in case of emergency.
Published in SouthAsianDesk, August. 2nd, 2025
Follow SouthAsianDesk on X, Instagram, and Facebook for insights on business and current affairs from across South Asia.
